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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Brad Marchand

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.20.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Marchand had 54 in 52 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left; Marchand has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Marchand's 2.3.

Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Plus/minus +8, Blocked shots 39.

Marchand's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.9, Penalty minutes 38, Luck Meter +50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.31

fantasy points per game

Brad Marchand

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatMarchand
Goals (+2)1.001.04
Assists (+1)0.540.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.27
Hits (+0.1)0.050.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Marchand

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatMarchand
6Team record in 20 meetings14
16Points in those games18

DeBrincat 9G 7A, 67 SOG · Marchand 5G 13A, 57 SOG

1Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

DeBrincat blocked 0 of Marchand's shots; Marchand blocked 1 of DeBrincat's.

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

3:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
2–4
33.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
29.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Brad Marchand
DateScoreDeBrincatMarchand
2026-03-06DET 1–3 FLA1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-15DET 4–1 FLA0G 2A 3S1G 0A 4S
2025-04-10DET 1–4 FLA1G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2025-04-06DET 2–1 FLA1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-03DET 2–3 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-23DET 1–2 BOS0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-31DET 3–5 BOS0G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2023-11-24DET 5–2 BOS1G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-04DET 5–4 BOS0G 1A 5S0G 0A 5S
2023-10-28DET 1–4 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2023-03-21OTT 1–2 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-20OTT 1–3 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatMarchand

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts

Brad Marchand

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Brad Marchand in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.20. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Marchand had 54 in 52 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Brad Marchand?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Marchand done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 6–14. DeBrincat had 16 points (9 goals) and Marchand had 18 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →