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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Chandler Stephenson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Stephenson had 49 in 80 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Stephenson has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to DeBrincat's 2.3.

Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Fenwick 53.8%, Transition attempts /60 1.78, Plus/minus +8.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 759, Goals above expected +2.9, Ascension score 51.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Chandler Stephenson

1.47

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatStephenson
Goals (+2)0.940.50
Assists (+1)0.500.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.12
Hits (+0.1)0.070.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Stephenson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatStephenson
8Team record in 16 meetings8
12Points in those games9

DeBrincat 3G 9A, 44 SOG · Stephenson 4G 5A, 23 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other4

DeBrincat's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 1–1 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other1

DeBrincat blocked 0 of Stephenson's shots; Stephenson blocked 1 of DeBrincat's.

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

11:34 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
16–2
88.9%
Expected goals
1.4–0.0
97.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Chandler Stephenson
DateScoreDeBrincatStephenson
2025-12-06DET 4–3 SEA0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-18DET 4–2 SEA0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-04DET 5–4 SEA0G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-12DET 6–2 SEA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-09DET 3–5 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-27DET 5–2 VGK0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-23OTT 1–4 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-03OTT 4–5 VGK0G 1A 7S1G 0A 2S
2022-04-27CHI 4–3 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 3A 1S
2022-03-26CHI 4–5 VGK1G 1A 6S1G 1A 3S
2022-01-08CHI 2–1 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2019-12-10CHI 1–5 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatStephenson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Chandler Stephenson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Stephenson had 49 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Chandler Stephenson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Stephenson done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 8–8. DeBrincat had 12 points (3 goals) and Stephenson had 9 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or Stephenson?
Against each other, DeBrincat has won 2 and Stephenson 4 of their 6 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →