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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Jackson Blake

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Blake had 53 in 81 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Blake has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Blake's 1.7.

Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.6, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Faceoffs won 19.

Blake's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 76.9%, Scoring chances 59.8%, Ascension score 55.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Jackson Blake

1.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatBlake
Goals (+2)0.940.48
Assists (+1)0.500.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.22
Hits (+0.1)0.070.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Blake

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatBlake
2Team record in 6 meetings4
7Points in those games5

DeBrincat 3G 4A, 12 SOG · Blake 4G 1A, 19 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

DeBrincat blocked 1 of Blake's shots; Blake blocked 0 of DeBrincat's.

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

5:44 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
5–11
31.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
44.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Jackson Blake
DateScoreDeBrincatBlake
2026-02-28DET 2–5 CAR0G 1A 3S1G 1A 5S
2026-01-12DET 4–3 CAR1G 2A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-12-27DET 2–5 CAR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2025-04-04DET 5–3 CAR1G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-14DET 2–4 CAR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-04DET 1–2 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatBlake

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Jackson Blake

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Jackson Blake in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Blake had 53 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Jackson Blake?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Blake done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 2–4. DeBrincat had 7 points (3 goals) and Blake had 5 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →