Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Transition attempts /60 1.78.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, Offensive-zone start % 65.8%, Faceoffs won 433.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 7G 3A, 25 SOG · Carlsson 1G 7A, 5 SOG
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
14:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–12
- 57.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.4
- 70.8%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | DET 6–3 ANA | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-31 | DET 2–5 ANA | 1G 1A 7S | 1G 3A 2S |
| 2025-02-23 | DET 5–4 ANA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-11-15 | DET 4–6 ANA | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-12-18 | DET 3–4 ANA | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 2–3. DeBrincat had 10 points (7 goals) and Carlsson had 8 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →