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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Matt Boldy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.20.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Boldy has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.

Matt Boldy has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Top skating speed 22.6.

Boldy's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.4, Ascension score 52, Shorthanded points 4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Matt Boldy

2.55

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatBoldy
Goals (+2)0.941.04
Assists (+1)0.500.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.34
Hits (+0.1)0.070.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.36

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Boldy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatBoldy
2Team record in 11 meetings9
9Points in those games7

DeBrincat 4G 5A, 30 SOG · Boldy 3G 4A, 25 SOG

0Hits on each other1
2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

6:28 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
8–4
66.7%
Expected goals
0.4–0.0
89.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Matt Boldy
DateScoreDeBrincatBoldy
2026-04-05DET 4–5 MIN0G 1A 1S1G 1A 3S
2025-02-25DET 3–2 MIN0G 1A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-02-22DET 3–4 MIN1G 1A 1S1G 1A 6S
2023-12-27DET 3–6 MIN1G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-26DET 4–1 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-18OTT 2–4 MIN0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-27OTT 2–4 MIN1G 1A 7S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-19CHI 1–3 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-02CHI 0–5 MIN0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2022-01-22CHI 3–4 MIN1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-21CHI 1–5 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatBoldy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Matt Boldy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Matt Boldy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.20. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Matt Boldy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Boldy done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 2–9. DeBrincat had 9 points (4 goals) and Boldy had 7 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →