Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 2.0 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 1.7.
Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.78, Top skating speed 22.6, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, Goals above expected +0.1, Scoring chances 53.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 7G 8A, 59 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 12A, 51 SOG
DeBrincat's offensive zone 0–3 · neutral 0–0 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19 to 2021-22)
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
11:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–15
- 44.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–1.1
- 40.4%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | DET 4–2 NSH | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3–6 NSH | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2024-10-19 | DET 5–2 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3–0 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-23 | DET 0–1 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-29 | DET 5–4 NSH | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-27 | CHI 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-02-12 | CHI 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-11-26 | CHI 3–2 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2020-03-08 | CHI 0–2 STL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2020-02-25 | CHI 5–6 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2019-12-14 | CHI 3–4 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 ptsSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 10–10. DeBrincat had 15 points (7 goals) and O'Reilly had 16 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, DeBrincat has won 0 and O'Reilly 3 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →