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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Trevor Zegras

Alex DeBrincatAlex DeBrincatRed Wings · Right wingvsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.20, Hardest shot 88.1.

Zegras's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 62, High-danger chances 56.6%, Goals above expected +2.5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatZegras
Goals (+2)0.940.57
Assists (+1)0.500.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.19
Hits (+0.1)0.070.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatZegras
9Team record in 11 meetings2
18Points in those games8

DeBrincat 10G 8A, 42 SOG · Zegras 4G 4A, 25 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

DeBrincat blocked 0 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 1 of DeBrincat's.

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

18:11 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
15–19
44.1%
Expected goals
0.7–1.2
36.7%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreDeBrincatZegras
2026-04-09DET 6–3 PHI1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-04-02DET 4–2 PHI2G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2026-03-28DET 3–5 PHI1G 0A 8S0G 1A 0S
2025-02-23DET 5–4 ANA1G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-15DET 4–6 ANA1G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2024-01-07DET 3–2 ANA0G 0A 2S2G 0A 4S
2022-12-12OTT 3–0 ANA2G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-25OTT 5–1 ANA0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-23CHI 4–2 ANA1G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-03-08CHI 8–3 ANA1G 3A 4S1G 0A 5S
2022-01-15CHI 3–0 ANA0G 2A 0S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Zegras done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 9–2. DeBrincat had 18 points (10 goals) and Zegras had 8 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →