Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.20.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to DeBrincat's 2.0.
Wyatt Johnston has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Fenwick 53.8%, Corsi 51.2%, Plus/minus +8.
Johnston's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.9, Faceoffs won 402, Offensive-zone start % 59.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 2G 5A, 26 SOG · Johnston 5G 6A, 21 SOG
DeBrincat's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23 to 2023-24)
DeBrincat blocked 0 of Johnston's shots; Johnston blocked 1 of DeBrincat's.
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
2:44 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–1
- 83.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.0
- 100.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | DET 2–3 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-23 | DET 4–3 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-14 | DET 6–4 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-19 | DET 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-23 | DET 4–5 DAL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2023-12-11 | DET 3–6 DAL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-08 | OTT 3–4 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2022-10-24 | OTT 4–2 DAL | 0G 1A 7S | 1G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.20. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Wyatt Johnston leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Johnston done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 3–5. DeBrincat had 7 points (2 goals) and Johnston had 11 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or Johnston?
- Against each other, DeBrincat has won 1 and Johnston 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →