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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Laferriere vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Laferriere's 1.79.

Laferriere had 44 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Laferriere has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Laferriere's 1.3.

Alex Laferriere has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Laferriere's biggest edges: Corsi 53.5%, Power-play share 43.5%, Fenwick 52.3%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Goals above expected +4.6, Luck Meter +79.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Laferriere

1.79

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLaferriereSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.480.44
Assists (+1)0.390.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.14
Hits (+0.1)0.320.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Laferriere vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LaferriereSamuelsson
1Team record in 3 meetings2
1Points in those games2

Laferriere 0G 1A, 6 SOG · Samuelsson 1G 1A, 1 SOG

1Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other1

Laferriere blocked 1 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 1 of Laferriere's.

On the ice against each other (Laferriere's side)

10:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Laferriere's side

Shot attempts
17–9
65.4%
Expected goals
0.7–0.2
82.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Laferriere and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreLaferriereSamuelsson
2026-03-21LAK 1–4 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-29LAK 1–4 BUF0G 0A 4S1G 0A 1S
2024-10-10LAK 3–1 BUF0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LaferriereSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Laferriere

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Laferriere or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Laferriere's 1.79. Laferriere had 44 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Laferriere or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Laferriere leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Laferriere and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Laferriere's team went 1–2. Laferriere had 1 points (0 goals) and Samuelsson had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →