Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Ovechkin vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84.
Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week Ovechkin has 1 game left; Guentzel has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 2.3 ESPN points to Ovechkin's 1.8.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ovechkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.3, Hits 134, Offensive-zone start % 98.1%.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.6, Faceoffs won 209, 20+ mph bursts 99.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Ovechkin
1.84
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ovechkin | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 0.88 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ovechkin 17G 14A, 124 SOG · Guentzel 19G 27A, 106 SOG
Ovechkin blocked 2 of Guentzel's shots; Guentzel blocked 3 of Ovechkin's.
On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)
18:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–15
- 55.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.1
- 35.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ovechkin | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | WSH 3–5 TBL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-11-08 | WSH 2–3 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-14 | WSH 3–2 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-01 | WSH 1–3 TBL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-26 | WSH 0–3 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-05 | WSH 2–4 CAR | 2G 0A 4S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-22 | WSH 7–6 CAR | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2024-01-02 | WSH 4–3 PIT | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2023-10-13 | WSH 0–4 PIT | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-03-25 | WSH 3–4 PIT | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2023-01-26 | WSH 3–2 PIT | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-09 | WSH 1–4 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 35 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Ovechkin
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.3 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ovechkin and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 35 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 16–19. Ovechkin had 31 points (17 goals) and Guentzel had 46 (19 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →