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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs J.T. Miller

Alex OvechkinAlex OvechkinCapitals · Left wingvsJ.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Ovechkin for 1.9 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Alex Ovechkin has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1030, Transition attempts /60 1.45, Offensive-zone start % 98.1%.

Miller's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 147, Faceoffs won 547, Top skating speed 22.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Ovechkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinMiller
Goals (+2)0.730.42
Assists (+1)0.430.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.20
Hits (+0.1)0.160.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinMiller
14Team record in 25 meetings11
25Points in those games16

Ovechkin 16G 9A, 120 SOG · Miller 5G 11A, 53 SOG

4Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Ovechkin blocked 0 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 1 of Ovechkin's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

5:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
4–7
36.4%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
11.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and J.T. Miller
DateScoreOvechkinMiller
2026-04-05WSH 1–8 NYR0G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2025-10-12WSH 1–0 NYR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-05WSH 3–2 NYR1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-25WSH 1–2 VAN0G 0A 7S0G 0A 4S
2025-01-08WSH 2–1 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-16WSH 2–1 VAN1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-11WSH 2–3 VAN1G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-29WSH 5–1 VAN2G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2022-10-17WSH 6–4 VAN2G 2A 4S1G 0A 1S
2022-03-11WSH 4–3 VAN0G 1A 6S0G 2A 0S
2022-01-16WSH 2–4 VAN1G 0A 7S1G 1A 4S
2019-11-23WSH 1–2 VAN0G 0A 7S0G 1A 7S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinMiller

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to C
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Ovechkin leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Miller done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 14–11. Ovechkin had 25 points (16 goals) and Miller had 16 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →