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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Charlie McAvoy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie McAvoy's 2.41.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; McAvoy had 61 in 69 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; McAvoy has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Alex Tuch has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Shorthanded points 4, High-danger chances 53.6%, Offensive-zone start % 59.1%.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Power-play share 68.4%, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.26

fantasy points per game

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchMcAvoy
Goals (+2)0.840.32
Assists (+1)0.420.72
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.16
Hits (+0.1)0.100.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs McAvoy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchMcAvoy
7Team record in 21 meetings14
17Points in those games15

Tuch 9G 8A, 50 SOG · McAvoy 1G 14A, 33 SOG

4Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other3

Tuch blocked 1 of McAvoy's shots; McAvoy blocked 3 of Tuch's.

On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)

48:27 at 5-on-5 over 10 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side

Shot attempts
51–42
54.8%
Expected goals
2.5–1.5
62.7%
Goals
3–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Tuch and Charlie McAvoy
DateScoreTuchMcAvoy
2026-05-01 · POBUF 4–1 BOS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-28 · POBUF 1–2 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-26 · POBUF 6–1 BOS1G 1A 6S0G 0A 3S
2026-04-23 · POBUF 3–1 BOS1G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2026-04-21 · POBUF 2–4 BOS0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-04-19 · POBUF 4–3 BOS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2026-03-25BUF 3–4 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-27BUF 4–1 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-30BUF 3–4 BOS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-11BUF 1–3 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-21BUF 1–3 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2023-12-27BUF 1–4 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchMcAvoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Charlie McAvoy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie McAvoy's 2.41. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; McAvoy had 61 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Charlie McAvoy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tuch and McAvoy done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 7–14. Tuch had 17 points (9 goals) and McAvoy had 15 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →