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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Jack Hughes

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Tuch's 2.42.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Hughes had 77 in 61 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hughes has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Hughes's 2.3.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1044, Penalty minutes 57, Hits 82.

Hughes's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.55, Offensive-zone time 45.1%, Power-play share 74.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchHughes
Goals (+2)1.030.95
Assists (+1)0.390.77
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.38
Hits (+0.1)0.100.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.25

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs Hughes

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchHughes
5Team record in 12 meetings7
12Points in those games15

Tuch 2G 10A, 25 SOG · Hughes 8G 7A, 43 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Tuch's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tuch's defensive zone 0–0 (2022-23)

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other2

Tuch blocked 2 of Hughes's shots; Hughes blocked 2 of Tuch's.

On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)

10:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side

Shot attempts
16–5
76.2%
Expected goals
0.6–0.3
70.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Tuch and Jack Hughes
DateScoreTuchHughes
2026-02-25BUF 2–1 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-21BUF 3–1 NJD0G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-02-02BUF 4–3 NJD0G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2024-10-05BUF 1–3 NJD0G 1A 0S0G 2A 6S
2024-10-04BUF 1–4 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-29BUF 5–2 NJD0G 2A 2S0G 0A 5S
2023-11-25BUF 2–7 NJD0G 1A 0S0G 1A 5S
2023-10-27BUF 4–5 NJD0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-04-11BUF 2–6 NJD0G 2A 4S1G 0A 2S
2023-03-24BUF 5–4 NJD2G 1A 2S2G 1A 4S
2022-11-25BUF 1–3 NJD0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S
2021-12-29BUF 3–4 NJD0G 1A 0S1G 2A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchHughes

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Jack Hughes in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Tuch's 2.42. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Hughes had 77 in 61 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Jack Hughes?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tuch and Hughes done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 5–7. Tuch had 12 points (2 goals) and Hughes had 15 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Hughes?
Against each other, Tuch has won 1 and Hughes 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →