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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Jake Guentzel

Alex TuchAlex TuchCapitals · Right wingvsJake GuentzelJake GuentzelLightning · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Guentzel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Hardest shot 89.3, Hits 82, Top skating speed 22.8.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.0%, Power-play share 81.1%, Power-play time per game 3:58.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchGuentzel
Goals (+2)1.030.88
Assists (+1)0.390.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.28
Hits (+0.1)0.100.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Alex Tuch and Jake Guentzel have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchGuentzel

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Jake Guentzel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →