Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Mario Ferraro
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.5.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Fenwick 52.2%, Offensive-zone start % 59.1%, Corsi 51.2%.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.21, Hits 137.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.29 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.95 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Ferraro
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 8G 4A, 37 SOG · Ferraro 0G 1A, 14 SOG
Tuch blocked 2 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 0 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
8:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–9
- 47.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.1
- 74.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | BUF 5–0 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-10 | BUF 6–3 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-04 | BUF 2–6 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-23 | BUF 4–2 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-15 | BUF 3–0 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-18 | BUF 4–2 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-04-21 | VGK 5–2 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-04-19 | VGK 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-03-15 | VGK 2–1 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-03-06 | VGK 4–0 SJS | 2G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-03-05 | VGK 5–4 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-05-12 | VGK 6–0 SJS | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.5 ptsLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Mario Ferraro?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Ferraro done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 12–2. Tuch had 12 points (8 goals) and Ferraro had 1 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →