Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Mike Matheson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 59.1%, High-danger chances 53.6%, Fenwick 52.2%.
Matheson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06, Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Mike Matheson
1.80
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Matheson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.01 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.96 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Matheson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 5G 9A, 66 SOG · Matheson 3G 7A, 49 SOG
Tuch blocked 7 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 6 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
84:52 at 5-on-5 over 11 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 92–99
- 48.2%
- Expected goals
- 4.0–4.6
- 46.3%
- Goals
- 0–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Matheson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 · PO | BUF 2–3 MTL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-05-16 · PO | BUF 8–3 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-05-14 · PO | BUF 3–6 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-05-12 · PO | BUF 3–2 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-05-10 · PO | BUF 2–6 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-05-08 · PO | BUF 1–5 MTL | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-05-06 · PO | BUF 4–2 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-31 | BUF 2–4 MTL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-22 | BUF 4–2 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2026-01-15 | BUF 5–3 MTL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-20 | BUF 2–4 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-03 | BUF 3–4 MTL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Mike Matheson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Mike Matheson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Matheson done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 12–14. Tuch had 14 points (5 goals) and Matheson had 10 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →