Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Plus/minus +24, On-ice PDO 1044, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Power-play share 86.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.26
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.84 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 5G 4A, 24 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 7G 4A, 34 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 6–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tuch's defensive zone 1–0 (2017-18 to 2018-19)
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
5:11 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–6
- 45.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 30.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | BUF 4–3 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-10 | BUF 3–2 EDM | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-25 | BUF 2–3 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-21 | BUF 3–8 EDM | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-09 | BUF 3–2 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-18 | BUF 4–2 EDM | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2019-11-23 | VGK 2–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-04-01 | VGK 3–1 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-03-17 | VGK 6–3 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2018-12-01 | VGK 1–2 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2018-11-18 | VGK 6–3 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2018-04-05 | VGK 3–4 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 7–7. Tuch had 9 points (5 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 11 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Nugent-Hopkins?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 7 and Nugent-Hopkins 0 of their 7 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →