Who to start · 2025-26
Alexander Wennberg vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Wennberg's 1.69.
Wennberg had 55 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Wennberg has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Wennberg's 1.6.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Wennberg's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.6, Luck Meter +57, Blocked shots 93.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.
Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Wennberg 58–37.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexander Wennberg
1.69
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Wennberg | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.58 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Wennberg vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Wennberg 5G 7A, 42 SOG · Aho 13G 23A, 100 SOG
Wennberg's offensive zone 8–16 · neutral 13–21 · Wennberg's defensive zone 16–21 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Wennberg blocked 2 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Wennberg's.
On the ice against each other (Wennberg's side)
4:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Wennberg's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–3
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 2.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Wennberg | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | SJS 4–1 CAR | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-14 | SJS 1–5 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-20 | SJS 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-10 | SJS 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-05-16 · PO | NYR 5–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-05-13 · PO | NYR 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-11 · PO | NYR 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-09 · PO | NYR 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-05-07 · PO | NYR 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 3A 7S |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | NYR 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-03-12 | NYR 1–0 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-26 | SEA 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 34 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexander Wennberg
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.6 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexander Wennberg or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Wennberg's 1.69. Wennberg had 55 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexander Wennberg or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Wennberg and Aho done against each other?
- In 34 games against each other in our data, Wennberg's team went 16–18. Wennberg had 12 points (5 goals) and Aho had 36 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Wennberg or Aho?
- Against each other, Wennberg has won 37 and Aho 58 of their 95 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →