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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Brady Tkachuk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tkachuk has 1 left. We project Tkachuk for 1.9 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Blocked shots 155, Goals above expected +3.9, Ascension score 65.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.6%, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%, Hardest shot 92.3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierTkachuk
Goals (+2)0.300.65
Assists (+1)0.260.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.35
Hits (+0.1)0.050.29
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierTkachuk
7Team record in 11 meetings4
5Points in those games9

Carrier 1G 4A, 11 SOG · Tkachuk 4G 5A, 59 SOG

1Hits on each other5
6Shots blocked by the other0

Carrier blocked 6 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 0 of Carrier's.

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

8:44 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
4–10
28.6%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
31.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Brady Tkachuk
DateScoreCarrierTkachuk
2026-03-11MTL 3–2 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2026-01-17MTL 6–5 OTT1G 0A 1S1G 0A 8S
2025-12-02MTL 2–5 OTT0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S
2025-03-18MTL 6–3 OTT0G 2A 3S0G 0A 6S
2024-12-07NSH 1–3 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2024-02-27NSH 4–1 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2024-01-29NSH 3–4 OTT0G 0A 2S1G 1A 8S
2023-01-09NSH 3–0 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2022-12-10NSH 2–3 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2022-03-29NSH 4–1 OTT0G 2A 1S1G 0A 6S
2022-04-07NSH 3–2 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.9 pts
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Brady Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Brady Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 7–4. Carrier had 5 points (1 goals) and Tkachuk had 9 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →