Who to start · 2025-26
Alexandre Carrier vs Eeli Tolvanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.
This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tolvanen for 1.3 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Carrier's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +3.6, Luck Meter +57.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.8, Power-play share 47.4%, Hits 187.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexandre Carrier
1.73
fantasy points per game
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alexandre Carrier has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carrier | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.24 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.03 | 0.49 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carrier vs Tolvanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carrier 0G 3A, 7 SOG · Tolvanen 1G 1A, 12 SOG
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)
9:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–11
- 35.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 41.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carrier | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | MTL 4–3 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-14 | MTL 5–4 SEA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-12 | MTL 4–5 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-20 | NSH 0–3 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-15 | NSH 3–7 SEA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-16 | NSH 4–1 SEA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-02 | NSH 2–4 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-12 | NSH 3–0 SEA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexandre Carrier
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Eeli Tolvanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Carrier and Tolvanen done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 4–4. Carrier had 3 points (0 goals) and Tolvanen had 2 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →