Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Collin Graf

Alexis LafrenièreAlexis LafrenièreRangers · Left wingvsCollin GrafCollin GrafSharks · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexis Lafrenière projects to 1.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Graf has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Graf for 1.4 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.8%, Corsi 52.4%, Fenwick 51.7%.

Graf's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.021, Plus/minus +6, Ascension score 45.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alexis Lafrenière has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreGraf
Goals (+2)0.490.49
Assists (+1)0.340.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.14
Hits (+0.1)0.110.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Graf

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreGraf
1Team record in 3 meetings2
1Points in those games4

Lafrenière 0G 1A, 4 SOG · Graf 0G 4A, 1 SOG

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

10:04 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
9–5
64.3%
Expected goals
0.5–0.5
51.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Collin Graf
DateScoreLafrenièreGraf
2026-01-23NYR 1–3 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2025-10-23NYR 5–6 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-29NYR 6–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreGraf

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Collin Graf in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexis Lafrenière projects to 1.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Collin Graf?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Graf done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 1–2. Lafrenière had 1 points (0 goals) and Graf had 4 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →