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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Dylan Guenther

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, High-danger chances 58.8%, Blocked shots 42.

Guenther's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.4, Plus/minus +7, Ascension score 47.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreGuenther
Goals (+2)0.491.20
Assists (+1)0.340.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.32
Hits (+0.1)0.110.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Guenther

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreGuenther
3Team record in 6 meetings3
8Points in those games4

Lafrenière 5G 3A, 13 SOG · Guenther 2G 2A, 17 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Lafrenière blocked 0 of Guenther's shots; Guenther blocked 1 of Lafrenière's.

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

7:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
4–10
28.6%
Expected goals
0.2–0.4
28.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Dylan Guenther
DateScoreLafrenièreGuenther
2026-01-05NYR 2–3 UTA1G 0A 3S1G 0A 6S
2025-11-22NYR 2–3 UTA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-12NYR 5–6 UTA0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-30NYR 8–5 ARI3G 2A 4S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-13NYR 4–1 ARI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-30NYR 3–2 ARI1G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreGuenther

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Dylan Guenther?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Guenther done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 3–3. Lafrenière had 8 points (5 goals) and Guenther had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →