Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Gabriel Vilardi

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Vilardi has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Vilardi for 1.3 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Transition attempts /60 1.38, Hits 84.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.014, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Gabriel Vilardi has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreVilardi
Goals (+2)0.490.69
Assists (+1)0.340.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.18
Hits (+0.1)0.110.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Vilardi

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreVilardi
3Team record in 6 meetings3
6Points in those games6

Lafrenière 3G 3A, 6 SOG · Vilardi 5G 1A, 13 SOG

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

6:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
5–8
38.5%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
31.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Gabriel Vilardi
DateScoreLafrenièreVilardi
2026-03-22NYR 2–3 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2026-03-12NYR 6–3 WPG1G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-11NYR 1–2 WPG0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2024-11-12NYR 3–6 WPG1G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2023-02-26NYR 5–2 LAK1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-22NYR 5–3 LAK0G 2A 1S1G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreVilardi

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Gabriel Vilardi in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Gabriel Vilardi?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Vilardi done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 3–3. Lafrenière had 6 points (3 goals) and Vilardi had 6 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →