Who to start · 2025-26
Alexis Lafrenière vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.
Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Lafrenière has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left. We project Carlson for 2.1 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.6.
John Carlson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Lafrenière's biggest edges: Hits 84, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.039, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25.
Carlson's biggest edges: Ascension score 53, Faceoffs won 0, Hardest shot 99.8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexis Lafrenière
1.41
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Lafrenière | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.49 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.34 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Lafrenière 9G 8A, 62 SOG · Carlson 4G 11A, 69 SOG
Lafrenière blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 5 of Lafrenière's.
On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)
28:58 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Lafrenière's side
- Shot attempts
- 39–29
- 57.4%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–1.0
- 63.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Lafrenière | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | NYR 5–1 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-31 | NYR 3–6 WSH | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-23 | NYR 7–3 WSH | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-12 | NYR 0–1 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-05 | NYR 2–3 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-04 | NYR 4–7 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-29 | NYR 3–5 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | NYR 4–2 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | NYR 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | NYR 4–3 WSH | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-04-21 · PO | NYR 4–1 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-01-14 | NYR 2–1 WSH | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexis Lafrenière
4games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.6 pts
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Lafrenière and Carlson done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 15–12. Lafrenière had 17 points (9 goals) and Carlson had 15 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →