Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Lafrenière for 1.6 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.8%, Corsi 52.4%, Offensive-zone start % 61.0%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ascension score 47, Hardest shot 95.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mario Ferraro has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreFerraro
Goals (+2)0.490.29
Assists (+1)0.340.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.13
Hits (+0.1)0.110.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreFerraro
5Team record in 8 meetings3
3Points in those games0

Lafrenière 0G 3A, 17 SOG · Ferraro 0G 0A, 9 SOG

4Hits on each other5

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

9:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
6–12
33.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
52.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreLafrenièreFerraro
2026-01-23NYR 1–3 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-23NYR 5–6 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-29NYR 6–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-14NYR 3–2 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-03NYR 6–5 SJS0G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-19NYR 2–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-20NYR 2–3 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2021-12-03NYR 1–0 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Ferraro done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 5–3. Lafrenière had 3 points (0 goals) and Ferraro had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →