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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Mike Matheson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left; Matheson has 1 left. We project Matheson for 1.8 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.6.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.8%, High-danger chances 58.8%, Offensive-zone start % 61.0%.

Matheson's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, Faceoffs won 0, Hardest shot 100.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mike Matheson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreMatheson
Goals (+2)0.490.17
Assists (+1)0.340.42
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.16
Hits (+0.1)0.110.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.96

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Matheson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreMatheson
15Team record in 24 meetings9
11Points in those games14

Lafrenière 7G 4A, 43 SOG · Matheson 3G 11A, 48 SOG

0Hits on each other4
0Shots blocked by the other4

Lafrenière blocked 0 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 4 of Lafrenière's.

2Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

18:41 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
21–12
63.6%
Expected goals
0.9–0.5
66.3%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Mike Matheson
DateScoreLafrenièreMatheson
2026-04-02NYR 2–3 MTL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-13NYR 5–4 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-18NYR 4–3 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-19NYR 4–5 MTL1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-30NYR 4–3 MTL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S
2024-10-22NYR 7–2 MTL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2024-04-07NYR 5–2 MTL1G 1A 3S0G 2A 1S
2024-02-15NYR 7–4 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-06NYR 3–4 MTL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-03-09NYR 4–3 MTL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-05-15 · PONYR 4–3 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-05-13 · PONYR 5–3 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreMatheson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.6 pts

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.8 pts

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Mike Matheson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Matheson done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 15–9. Lafrenière had 11 points (7 goals) and Matheson had 14 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →