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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexis Lafrenière projects to 1.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left; Frost has 2 left. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.5.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Scoring chances 54.3%, Sequence xG 51.3%.

Frost's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 601, Top skating speed 22.7, Goals above expected +3.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alexis Lafrenière has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreFrost
Goals (+2)0.490.50
Assists (+1)0.340.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.17
Hits (+0.1)0.110.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreFrost
8Team record in 13 meetings5
7Points in those games5

Lafrenière 6G 1A, 29 SOG · Frost 2G 3A, 24 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Lafrenière's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Lafrenière's defensive zone 1–0 (2021-22)

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

11:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
12–8
60.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.5
51.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Morgan Frost
DateScoreLafrenièreFrost
2026-03-10NYR 4–0 CGY3G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-26NYR 1–5 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-18NYR 1–2 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-23NYR 6–1 PHI0G 1A 5S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-29NYR 1–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-11NYR 1–4 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-26NYR 6–5 PHI2G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-02-24NYR 2–1 PHI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-01NYR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-17NYR 6–3 PHI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-01NYR 1–0 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-03NYR 3–4 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.3 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.3 pts

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexis Lafrenière projects to 1.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Frost done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 8–5. Lafrenière had 7 points (6 goals) and Frost had 5 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lafrenière or Frost?
Against each other, Lafrenière has won 1 and Frost 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →