Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left; Ehlers has 1 left. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.6.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Hits 84, On-ice PDO 1016, Blocked shots 42.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Ascension score 52, Hardest shot 93.6, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nikolaj Ehlers has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreEhlers
Goals (+2)0.490.56
Assists (+1)0.340.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.26
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreEhlers
4Team record in 12 meetings8
4Points in those games13

Lafrenière 2G 2A, 26 SOG · Ehlers 3G 10A, 42 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other0

Lafrenière blocked 2 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 0 of Lafrenière's.

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

22:25 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
17–32
34.7%
Expected goals
0.2–1.2
15.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreLafrenièreEhlers
2026-02-05NYR 0–2 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2025-12-29NYR 2–3 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2025-11-26NYR 4–2 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-04NYR 0–3 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 6S
2025-03-11NYR 1–2 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-12NYR 3–6 WPG1G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2024-03-19NYR 2–4 WPG1G 1A 7S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-30NYR 3–2 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2023-02-20NYR 1–4 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-10-14NYR 1–4 WPG0G 0A 5S0G 2A 3S
2022-04-19NYR 3–0 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 7S
2022-03-06NYR 4–1 WPG0G 1A 1S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreEhlers

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Ehlers done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 4–8. Lafrenière had 4 points (2 goals) and Ehlers had 13 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →