Who to start · 2025-26
Alexis Lafrenière vs Parker Kelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.
Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.
This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Kelly has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Lafrenière for 1.2 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Lafrenière's biggest edges: Power-play share 57.6%, Power-play time per game 2:23, Offensive-zone time 45.8%.
Kelly's biggest edges: Ascension score 55, Plus/minus +18, Forecheck xG /60 0.46.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexis Lafrenière
1.41
fantasy points per game
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Parker Kelly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Lafrenière | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.49 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Lafrenière 2G 4A, 28 SOG · Kelly 2G 1A, 13 SOG
On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)
4:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–9
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.5
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Lafrenière | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | NYR 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-20 | NYR 3–6 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-26 | NYR 4–5 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-14 | NYR 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-15 | NYR 4–0 OTT | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-27 | NYR 7–2 OTT | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-05 | NYR 2–6 OTT | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-02 | NYR 2–3 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-30 | NYR 3–1 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-09 | NYR 5–1 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-02-20 | NYR 2–1 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-23 | NYR 3–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexis Lafrenière
4games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Parker Kelly?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Lafrenière and Kelly done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 6–6. Lafrenière had 6 points (2 goals) and Kelly had 3 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →