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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Connor McDavid

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Svechnikov has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Svechnikov's 2.1.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.1, Hits 148, Goals above expected +4.8.

McDavid's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Faceoffs won 457, Blocked shots 30.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

2.02

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.691.15
Assists (+1)0.491.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.35
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.35
Hits (+0.1)0.220.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovMcDavid
9Team record in 13 meetings4
14Points in those games22

Svechnikov 7G 7A, 34 SOG · McDavid 6G 16A, 41 SOG

4Hits on each other0
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

20:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
24–18
57.1%
Expected goals
0.8–0.9
48.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Connor McDavid
DateScoreSvechnikovMcDavid
2026-03-06CAR 6–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-15CAR 3–4 EDM0G 0A 2S2G 1A 5S
2025-03-01CAR 1–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-10-22CAR 3–2 EDM0G 0A 4S2G 0A 5S
2023-12-06CAR 1–6 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 3A 2S
2023-11-22CAR 6–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-10CAR 7–2 EDM3G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2022-10-20CAR 4–6 EDM3G 0A 7S1G 3A 4S
2022-02-27CAR 2–1 EDM0G 2A 3S0G 0A 5S
2021-12-11CAR 3–1 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2019-12-10CAR 6–3 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 3A 1S
2019-02-15CAR 3–1 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.8 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and McDavid done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 9–4. Svechnikov had 14 points (7 goals) and McDavid had 22 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →