Who to start · 2025-26
Andrei Svechnikov vs Noah Cates
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Andrei Svechnikov projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.
Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.
This week Svechnikov has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Svechnikov for 2.1 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.
Andrei Svechnikov has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Svechnikov's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Hardest shot 96.1, Corsi 61.1%.
Cates's biggest edges: Blocked shots 51, On-ice PDO 1026, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Andrei Svechnikov
2.02
fantasy points per game
Noah Cates
1.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Andrei Svechnikov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Svechnikov | Cates |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.69 | 0.39 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs Cates
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Svechnikov 2G 5A, 29 SOG · Cates 0G 3A, 9 SOG
On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)
15:30 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–7
- 72.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–0.3
- 82.5%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Svechnikov | Cates |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 · PO | CAR 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-05-02 · PO | CAR 3–0 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-13 | CAR 4–3 PHI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | CAR 4–3 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-20 | CAR 4–1 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-11-05 | CAR 6–4 PHI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-21 | CAR 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-15 | CAR 1–3 PHI | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-30 | CAR 3–2 PHI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-09 | CAR 1–0 PHI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-23 | CAR 6–5 PHI | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Andrei Svechnikov
3games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Noah Cates
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Andrei Svechnikov projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Noah Cates?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Svechnikov leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Svechnikov and Cates done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 12–1. Svechnikov had 7 points (2 goals) and Cates had 3 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →