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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Andrei Svechnikov projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Svechnikov has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Svechnikov for 2.1 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Andrei Svechnikov has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Penalty minutes 66, Top skating speed 23.1.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05, On-ice PDO 1006, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

2.02

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Andrei Svechnikov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovToffoli
Goals (+2)0.690.45
Assists (+1)0.490.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.21
Hits (+0.1)0.220.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovToffoli
8Team record in 11 meetings3
3Points in those games5

Svechnikov 1G 2A, 27 SOG · Toffoli 3G 2A, 34 SOG

2Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

3:52 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
6–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreSvechnikovToffoli
2025-12-07CAR 1–4 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-14CAR 5–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-10CAR 3–2 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-10CAR 1–0 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 6S
2022-11-26CAR 3–2 CGY0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2022-10-22CAR 2–3 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 1A 4S
2021-10-21CAR 4–1 MTL1G 0A 7S1G 0A 4S
2020-01-11CAR 2–0 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2019-10-15CAR 2–0 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2019-02-26CAR 6–1 LAK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2018-12-02CAR 0–2 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Andrei Svechnikov projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Svechnikov leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and Toffoli done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 8–3. Svechnikov had 3 points (1 goals) and Toffoli had 5 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →