Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Cirelli vs Thomas Harley

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67.

Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Cirelli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Cirelli's 1.2.

Anthony Cirelli has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Cirelli's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Corsi 56.1%, Fenwick 55.1%.

Harley's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.36, Offensive-zone time 42.8%, Power-play share 37.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Cirelli

1.67

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCirelliHarley
Goals (+2)0.610.16
Assists (+1)0.380.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.16
Hits (+0.1)0.070.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.370.99

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Cirelli vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CirelliHarley
4Team record in 6 meetings2
7Points in those games2

Cirelli 6G 1A, 22 SOG · Harley 1G 1A, 7 SOG

On the ice against each other (Cirelli's side)

7:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cirelli's side

Shot attempts
8–11
42.1%
Expected goals
0.5–0.8
35.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Cirelli and Thomas Harley
DateScoreCirelliHarley
2026-01-18TBL 4–1 DAL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-30TBL 2–1 DAL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-20TBL 3–2 DAL1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-23TBL 2–4 DAL2G 0A 8S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-04TBL 4–0 DAL2G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-02TBL 1–8 DAL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CirelliHarley

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Cirelli

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Cirelli or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67. Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Cirelli or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Cirelli leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cirelli and Harley done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Cirelli's team went 4–2. Cirelli had 7 points (6 goals) and Harley had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →