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Who to start · 2025-26

Anton Lundell vs Nathan MacKinnon

Anton LundellAnton LundellPanthers · CentrevsNathan MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonAvalanche · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anton Lundell's 1.68.

Lundell had 44 points in 64 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Lundell has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Lundell's 1.7.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Lundell's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Shorthanded points 4, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, Plus/minus +57, 20+ mph bursts 455.

Head to head on the dot, MacKinnon leads Lundell 20–13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anton Lundell

1.68

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLundellMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.501.49
Assists (+1)0.420.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.46
Hits (+0.1)0.130.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.270.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lundell vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LundellMacKinnon
5Team record in 10 meetings5
7Points in those games12

Lundell 2G 5A, 20 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 8A, 36 SOG

13Faceoffs against each other20

Lundell's offensive zone 3–2 · neutral 6–8 · Lundell's defensive zone 4–10 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other1

Lundell blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Lundell's.

On the ice against each other (Lundell's side)

15:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lundell's side

Shot attempts
16–10
61.5%
Expected goals
1.0–0.3
77.9%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Anton Lundell and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreLundellMacKinnon
2026-01-04FLA 2–1 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2025-12-11FLA 2–6 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 7S
2025-01-06FLA 1–3 COL0G 1A 0S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-23FLA 4–7 COL1G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-10FLA 4–0 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-06FLA 8–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-02-11FLA 3–5 COL0G 1A 0S2G 1A 6S
2023-01-10FLA 5–4 COL0G 1A 6S1G 0A 3S
2021-12-12FLA 2–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 6S
2021-10-21FLA 4–1 COL1G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LundellMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anton Lundell

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.7 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Anton Lundell or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anton Lundell's 1.68. Lundell had 44 points in 64 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anton Lundell or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lundell and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Lundell's team went 5–5. Lundell had 7 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 12 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lundell or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Lundell has won 13 and MacKinnon 20 of their 33 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →