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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Charlie McAvoy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; McAvoy had 61 in 69 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; McAvoy has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Charlie McAvoy has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 58.9%, Shots on goal 227, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Luck Meter +60, Goals above expected +1.0, Penalty minutes 62.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.56

fantasy points per game

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsMcAvoy
Goals (+2)0.900.32
Assists (+1)0.430.72
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.16
Hits (+0.1)0.070.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.680.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs McAvoy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsMcAvoy
11Team record in 35 meetings24
29Points in those games14

Matthews 17G 12A, 136 SOG · McAvoy 1G 13A, 39 SOG

13Hits on each other5
4Shots blocked by the other11

Matthews blocked 4 of McAvoy's shots; McAvoy blocked 11 of Matthews's.

1Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

4:49 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
0–8
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.3
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Charlie McAvoy
DateScoreMatthewsMcAvoy
2025-11-11TOR 3–5 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2025-01-04TOR 6–4 BOS1G 2A 5S0G 1A 1S
2024-10-26TOR 3–4 BOS1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-04 · POTOR 1–2 BOS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-27 · POTOR 1–3 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-24 · POTOR 2–4 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2024-04-22 · POTOR 3–2 BOS1G 2A 8S0G 1A 1S
2024-04-20 · POTOR 1–5 BOS0G 0A 5S0G 2A 0S
2024-03-07TOR 1–4 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-04TOR 1–4 BOS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-02TOR 3–4 BOS2G 0A 7S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-06TOR 1–2 BOS0G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 35 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsMcAvoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Charlie McAvoy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; McAvoy had 61 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Charlie McAvoy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Charlie McAvoy leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and McAvoy done against each other?
In 35 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 11–24. Matthews had 29 points (17 goals) and McAvoy had 14 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →