Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Gabriel Vilardi
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Vilardi has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.6 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.8.
Gabriel Vilardi has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.09, Faceoff win % 59.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.103.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Luck Meter +20, Ascension score 56, Offensive-zone time 44.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Gabriel Vilardi
1.76
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Vilardi |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Vilardi
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 6G 3A, 32 SOG · Vilardi 3G 3A, 12 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Matthews's defensive zone 1–0 (2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
11:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–5
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.2
- 84.1%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Vilardi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | TOR 4–3 WPG | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-01-01 | TOR 6–5 WPG | 3G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-28 | TOR 6–4 WPG | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-27 | TOR 4–2 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-08 | TOR 5–0 LAK | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-29 | TOR 2–4 LAK | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2020-03-05 | TOR 0–1 LAK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.6 pts
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Gabriel Vilardi in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Gabriel Vilardi?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Gabriel Vilardi leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Vilardi done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 5–2. Matthews had 9 points (6 goals) and Vilardi had 6 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Vilardi?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 1 and Vilardi 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →