Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Morgan Rielly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.
Auston Matthews has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.3, Plus/minus −4, Ice-time share 34.1%.
Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.4, Top skating speed 22.7, Ascension score 60.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Morgan Rielly
1.61
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.25 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Rielly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews blocked 4 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 1 of Matthews's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
313:07 at 5-on-5 over 59 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 334–346
- 49.1%
- Expected goals
- 15.2–16.3
- 48.2%
- Goals
- 22–15
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Morgan Rielly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →