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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Thomas Harley

Auston MatthewsAuston MatthewsMaple Leafs · CentrevsThomas HarleyThomas HarleyStars · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Harley has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.

Auston Matthews has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.09, Hardest shot 88.3, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038.

Harley's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 50, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Top skating speed 22.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsHarley
Goals (+2)0.790.16
Assists (+1)0.380.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.16
Hits (+0.1)0.070.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.99

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsHarley
3Team record in 5 meetings2
6Points in those games2

Matthews 4G 2A, 26 SOG · Harley 0G 2A, 8 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Matthews blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 0 of Matthews's.

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

3:16 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
3–1
75.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
72.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Thomas Harley
DateScoreMatthewsHarley
2025-12-21TOR 1–5 DAL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-14TOR 1–4 DAL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-07TOR 5–4 DAL1G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-26TOR 4–1 DAL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-07TOR 4–3 DAL2G 0A 12S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsHarley

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Harley done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 3–2. Matthews had 6 points (4 goals) and Harley had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →