Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ben Chiarot vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ben Chiarot's 1.54.

Chiarot had 15 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Chiarot has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Chiarot's 1.8.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Chiarot's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.055, Hits 170, Blocked shots 160.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Sequence xG 59.5%, Expected goals 59.7%, Scoring chances 59.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ben Chiarot

1.54

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromChiarotMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.111.49
Assists (+1)0.110.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.46
Hits (+0.1)0.210.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.980.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Chiarot vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ChiarotMacKinnon
4Team record in 17 meetings13
3Points in those games25

Chiarot 2G 1A, 26 SOG · MacKinnon 10G 15A, 79 SOG

2Hits on each other0
5Shots blocked by the other0

Chiarot blocked 5 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Chiarot's.

0Penalties drawn off the other3

On the ice against each other (Chiarot's side)

15:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Chiarot's side

Shot attempts
21–15
58.3%
Expected goals
0.5–0.9
35.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Ben Chiarot and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreChiarotMacKinnon
2026-02-02DET 2–0 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2026-01-31DET 0–5 COL0G 0A 2S2G 1A 4S
2025-03-25DET 2–5 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 1S
2024-12-07DET 1–2 COL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-06DET 2–7 COL0G 0A 1S1G 3A 8S
2024-02-22DET 2–1 COL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 11S
2023-01-16DET 3–6 COL1G 0A 2S2G 2A 5S
2022-01-22MTL 2–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 7S
2021-12-02MTL 1–4 COL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2019-12-05MTL 2–3 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-04-04WPG 2–3 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 6S
2019-02-20WPG 1–7 COL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ChiarotMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ben Chiarot

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Ben Chiarot or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ben Chiarot's 1.54. Chiarot had 15 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ben Chiarot or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Chiarot and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Chiarot's team went 4–13. Chiarot had 3 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 25 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →