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Who to start · 2025-26

Bo Horvat vs Erik Karlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bo Horvat projects to 2.07 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.

Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.

This week Horvat has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Horvat for 1.5 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Horvat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.001, Penalty minutes 40, Blocked shots 38.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, High-danger chances 53.6%, Goals above expected +2.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bo Horvat

2.07

fantasy points per game

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Bo Horvat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHorvatKarlsson
Goals (+2)0.850.38
Assists (+1)0.420.70
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.24
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.43

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Horvat vs Karlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HorvatKarlsson
16Team record in 24 meetings8
23Points in those games18

Horvat 7G 16A, 62 SOG · Karlsson 1G 17A, 52 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other2

Horvat blocked 3 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 2 of Horvat's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Horvat's side)

16:50 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Horvat's side

Shot attempts
24–16
60.0%
Expected goals
1.1–0.4
74.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Bo Horvat and Erik Karlsson
DateScoreHorvatKarlsson
2026-03-30NYI 3–8 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-02-03NYI 5–4 PIT2G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-09NYI 3–4 PIT0G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-18NYI 4–2 PIT0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-29NYI 2–3 PIT1G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-28NYI 6–3 PIT0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-05NYI 4–3 PIT0G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-04-17NYI 5–4 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2024-02-20NYI 5–4 PIT0G 1A 3S0G 1A 5S
2023-12-31NYI 1–3 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-27NYI 0–7 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-18NYI 4–1 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HorvatKarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bo Horvat

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Bo Horvat or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bo Horvat projects to 2.07 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bo Horvat or Erik Karlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Horvat and Karlsson done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Horvat's team went 16–8. Horvat had 23 points (7 goals) and Karlsson had 18 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →