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Who to start · 2025-26

Brad Marchand vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Marchand has 1 game left; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marchand for 1.5 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Brad Marchand has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Marchand's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, Transition attempts /60 1.94, Luck Meter +25.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 547, Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brad Marchand

2.26

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchandMiller
Goals (+2)1.040.50
Assists (+1)0.520.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.21
Hits (+0.1)0.070.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.25

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchand vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchandMiller
12Team record in 24 meetings12
27Points in those games18

Marchand 12G 15A, 69 SOG · Miller 7G 11A, 47 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other2

Marchand's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–1 · Marchand's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18 to 2019-20)

0Hits on each other4
2Penalties drawn off the other1

Games against each other

Games between Brad Marchand and J.T. Miller
DateScoreMarchandMiller
2025-02-05BOS 2–3 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-01BOS 6–3 NYR0G 2A 2S2G 0A 6S
2024-12-14BOS 5–1 VAN1G 0A 7S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-24BOS 2–3 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 3A 4S
2024-02-08BOS 4–0 VAN1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-25BOS 3–1 VAN1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-13BOS 5–2 VAN1G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2021-12-08BOS 1–2 VAN0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2021-11-28BOS 3–2 VAN1G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2020-02-22BOS 3–9 VAN0G 1A 1S0G 3A 4S
2020-02-04BOS 4–0 VAN1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2019-03-25BOS 4–5 TBL2G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchandMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brad Marchand

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LW
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.5 pts

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to C
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Brad Marchand or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brad Marchand or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brad Marchand leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchand and Miller done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 12–12. Marchand had 27 points (12 goals) and Miller had 18 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Miller?
Against each other, Marchand has won 1 and Miller 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →