Who to start · 2025-26
Braden Schneider vs Ivan Provorov
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.37.
Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.
This week Schneider has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Schneider for 1.2 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Ivan Provorov has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Schneider's biggest edges: Hits 163, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.14, Blocked shots 140.
Provorov's biggest edges: Sequence xG 51.5%, Expected goals 51.5%, Goals above expected +0.7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Braden Schneider
1.42
fantasy points per game
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Schneider | Provorov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.05 | 0.22 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.85 | 0.82 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Schneider vs Provorov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Schneider 1G 1A, 22 SOG · Provorov 1G 4A, 19 SOG
Schneider blocked 0 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 3 of Schneider's.
On the ice against each other (Schneider's side)
16:40 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Schneider's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–10
- 71.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.7
- 56.8%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Schneider | Provorov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | NYR 3–6 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-02 | NYR 4–5 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-15 | NYR 2–1 CBJ | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-15 | NYR 4–0 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-09 | NYR 3–7 CBJ | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-08 | NYR 4–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-18 | NYR 1–0 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-02-28 | NYR 4–1 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-25 | NYR 2–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-12 | NYR 4–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-14 | NYR 3–5 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-03-01 | NYR 3–2 PHI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Braden Schneider
4games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Braden Schneider or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.37. Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Braden Schneider or Ivan Provorov?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Schneider and Provorov done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Schneider's team went 11–5. Schneider had 2 points (1 goals) and Provorov had 5 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →