Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Braden Schneider vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.38.

Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Schneider has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Schneider's 1.4.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schneider's biggest edges: Hits 163, Blocked shots 140, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.084.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Expected goals 59.7%, Sequence xG 59.5%, Offensive-zone start % 71.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Braden Schneider

1.38

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchneiderMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.041.49
Assists (+1)0.160.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.46
Hits (+0.1)0.220.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schneider vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchneiderMacKinnon
2Team record in 7 meetings5
2Points in those games11

Schneider 0G 2A, 7 SOG · MacKinnon 5G 6A, 33 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Schneider blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Schneider's.

On the ice against each other (Schneider's side)

22:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Schneider's side

Shot attempts
26–28
48.1%
Expected goals
0.8–1.6
33.8%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Braden Schneider and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreSchneiderMacKinnon
2025-12-06NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 1S2G 0A 7S
2025-11-20NYR 3–6 COL0G 1A 1S2G 1A 4S
2025-01-26NYR 4–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-14NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 4S
2024-03-28NYR 3–2 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2024-02-05NYR 2–1 COL0G 1A 1S1G 0A 7S
2022-10-25NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchneiderMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Braden Schneider

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Braden Schneider or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.38. Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Braden Schneider or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schneider and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Schneider's team went 2–5. Schneider had 2 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 11 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →