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Who to start · 2025-26

Braden Schneider vs Sebastian Aho

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.37.

Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Schneider has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Schneider's 1.2.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schneider's biggest edges: Blocked shots 140, Hits 163, On-ice PDO 1005.

Aho's biggest edges: Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%, Offensive-zone time 48.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Braden Schneider

1.37

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchneiderAho
Goals (+2)0.040.72
Assists (+1)0.160.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.25
Hits (+0.1)0.210.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schneider vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchneiderAho
15Team record in 32 meetings17
2Points in those games35

Schneider 0G 2A, 18 SOG · Aho 11G 24A, 73 SOG

3Hits on each other4
3Shots blocked by the other0

Schneider blocked 3 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Schneider's.

On the ice against each other (Schneider's side)

25:32 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Schneider's side

Shot attempts
11–36
23.4%
Expected goals
0.3–1.0
20.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Braden Schneider and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreSchneiderAho
2026-02-05NYR 0–2 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-29NYR 2–3 CAR0G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2025-11-26NYR 4–2 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 4S
2025-11-04NYR 0–3 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-12NYR 3–7 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-28NYR 0–4 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-12-22NYR 1–3 CAR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-27NYR 3–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-05-16 · PONYR 5–3 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2024-05-13 · PONYR 1–4 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-05-11 · PONYR 3–4 CAR0G 1A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-05-09 · PONYR 3–2 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 32 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchneiderAho

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Braden Schneider

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Braden Schneider or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.37. Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Braden Schneider or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schneider and Aho done against each other?
In 32 games against each other in our data, Schneider's team went 15–17. Schneider had 2 points (0 goals) and Aho had 35 (11 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →