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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Erik Karlsson

Brady TkachukBrady TkachukPanthers · Left wingvsErik KarlssonErik KarlssonPenguins · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tkachuk for 1.9 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Hits 162, Penalty minutes 71, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018.

Karlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 153, Top skating speed 23.7, On-ice PDO 1017.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukKarlsson
Goals (+2)0.650.38
Assists (+1)0.540.70
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.24
Hits (+0.1)0.290.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.43

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Karlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukKarlsson
10Team record in 16 meetings6
17Points in those games10

Tkachuk 9G 8A, 61 SOG · Karlsson 1G 9A, 51 SOG

5Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Tkachuk blocked 1 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 1 of Tkachuk's.

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

19:15 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
22–15
59.5%
Expected goals
1.1–0.3
77.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Erik Karlsson
DateScoreTkachukKarlsson
2026-03-26OTT 3–4 PIT0G 1A 4S1G 2A 8S
2026-02-02OTT 3–2 PIT0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-18OTT 4–0 PIT2G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-30OTT 0–1 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-11OTT 5–0 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-14OTT 3–2 PIT1G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-12OTT 2–1 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-23OTT 5–4 PIT1G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-28OTT 5–2 PIT2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-03OTT 5–2 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-21OTT 1–5 SJS0G 1A 5S0G 1A 6S
2021-11-24OTT 3–6 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 2A 4S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukKarlsson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.9 pts
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Erik Karlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Karlsson done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 10–6. Tkachuk had 17 points (9 goals) and Karlsson had 10 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →