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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Morgan Rielly

Brady TkachukBrady TkachukPanthers · Left wingvsMorgan RiellyMorgan RiellyMaple Leafs · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Expected goals 61.0%, Sequence xG 61.0%, Hardest shot 92.3.

Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.4, 20+ mph bursts 71, Top skating speed 22.7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukRielly
Goals (+2)0.650.25
Assists (+1)0.540.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.17
Hits (+0.1)0.290.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukRielly
16Team record in 34 meetings18
28Points in those games19

Tkachuk 13G 15A, 130 SOG · Rielly 5G 14A, 93 SOG

15Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other1

Tkachuk blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 1 of Tkachuk's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

8:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
12–5
70.6%
Expected goals
0.6–0.1
83.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreTkachukRielly
2026-02-28OTT 5–2 TOR0G 1A 6S1G 0A 3S
2025-12-27OTT 5–7 TOR0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-05-01 · POOTT 2–4 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-29 · POOTT 4–0 TOR1G 2A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-26 · POOTT 4–3 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-04-24 · POOTT 2–3 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-22 · POOTT 2–3 TOR1G 0A 5S1G 0A 3S
2025-04-20 · POOTT 2–6 TOR0G 0A 5S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-15OTT 4–2 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-01-25OTT 2–1 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-12OTT 3–0 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-10OTT 5–3 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 34 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukRielly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Rielly done against each other?
In 34 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 16–18. Tkachuk had 28 points (13 goals) and Rielly had 19 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →