Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.13.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week Nelson has no games left; Guentzel has no games left.
They split the 36 stats both are ranked on 18–18.
Nelson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 86.5, Faceoffs won 735, Forecheck xG /60 0.42.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Ascension score 58, Luck Meter +40, Transition attempts /60 1.25.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.13
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.29
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.84 | 0.95 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 24G 18A, 114 SOG · Guentzel 16G 24A, 123 SOG
Nelson's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–1 · Nelson's defensive zone 2–2 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Nelson blocked 1 of Guentzel's shots; Guentzel blocked 1 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
7:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–9
- 52.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.3
- 57.7%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | COL 2–4 TBL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-04 | COL 3–2 TBL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-01 | NYI 3–2 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | NYI 3–6 CAR | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | NYI 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-25 · PO | NYI 2–3 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-22 · PO | NYI 3–5 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-20 · PO | NYI 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-19 | NYI 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2023-12-31 | NYI 1–3 PIT | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-27 | NYI 0–7 PIT | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-09 | NYI 4–3 PIT | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 46 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Jake Guentzel
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.13. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 18–18 across 36 stats where both qualify.
- How have Nelson and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 46 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 23–23. Nelson had 42 points (24 goals) and Guentzel had 40 (16 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Guentzel?
- Against each other, Nelson has won 4 and Guentzel 3 of their 7 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →