Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs J.T. Miller
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Goals above expected +1.1, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000.
Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, Hardest shot 102.6, Faceoff win % 61.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Nelson 28–21.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 0.42 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Miller
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 11G 6A, 48 SOG · Miller 10G 11A, 50 SOG
Nelson's offensive zone 4–12 · neutral 5–5 · Nelson's defensive zone 12–11 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
1:24 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–0
- 100.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.0
- 100.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Miller |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | COL 3–2 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-11-20 | COL 6–3 NYR | 1G 1A 4S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-03 | NYI 0–4 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-25 | NYI 1–5 NYR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-14 | NYI 5–2 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-09 | NYI 2–5 VAN | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-15 | NYI 3–4 VAN | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-02-09 | NYI 5–6 VAN | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-03 | NYI 6–2 VAN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-03 | NYI 3–4 VAN | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-02-09 | NYI 6–3 VAN | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2020-03-10 | NYI 4–5 VAN | 2G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or J.T. Miller?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Miller done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 9–11. Nelson had 17 points (11 goals) and Miller had 21 (10 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Miller?
- Against each other, Nelson has won 21 and Miller 28 of their 49 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →