Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1010, Blocked shots 65, Faceoffs won 735.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.50, Offensive-zone start % 69.0%, Hits 81.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.00
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 9G 8A, 53 SOG · Jarvis 9G 9A, 55 SOG
Nelson's offensive zone 2–2 · neutral 1–0 · Nelson's defensive zone 1–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
3:28 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–6
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.2
- 83.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 | COL 4–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-01-25 | NYI 3–2 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-17 | NYI 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-07 | NYI 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | NYI 3–6 CAR | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | NYI 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-25 · PO | NYI 2–3 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-22 · PO | NYI 3–5 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-20 · PO | NYI 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-19 | NYI 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-23 | NYI 5–4 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-30 | NYI 5–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 9–16. Nelson had 17 points (9 goals) and Jarvis had 18 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Nelson has won 4 and Jarvis 3 of their 7 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →