Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stamkos for 2.0 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
They split the 36 stats both are ranked on 18–18.
Nelson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Fenwick 57.3%, Sequence xG 59.8%.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.0, Hits 89, Luck Meter +24.
Head to head on the dot, Stamkos leads Nelson 43–39.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 13G 8A, 73 SOG · Stamkos 12G 9A, 83 SOG
Nelson's offensive zone 14–19 · neutral 12–8 · Nelson's defensive zone 13–16 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Nelson blocked 1 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 1 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
14:26 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–17
- 51.4%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.7
- 60.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | COL 3–7 NSH | 2G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-13 | COL 4–2 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-09 | COL 3–4 NSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2025-11-22 | COL 3–0 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-01 | NYI 7–4 NSH | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-30 | NYI 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-24 | NYI 2–4 TBL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-08 | NYI 6–2 TBL | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-06 | NYI 6–1 TBL | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-01 | NYI 0–5 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-22 | NYI 3–5 TBL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-29 | NYI 4–6 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 3G 0A 7S |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 18–18 across 36 stats where both qualify.
- How have Nelson and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 12–18. Nelson had 21 points (13 goals) and Stamkos had 21 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Nelson has won 39 and Stamkos 43 of their 82 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →